The Supreme Court will hear two marriage equality cases on March 26 & 27, next Tuesday and Wednesday. A final decision is expected by June.
There is an awful lot of news, opinion, and activity buzzing around, and I'm sure more will file in this thread in coming days. Below is some basic information about dates and times, some of the events that are going on, followed by a brief analysis of cases and the possible outcomes.
- United for Marriage will be holding a rally on March 26 @ 8:30 a.m. It is scheduled to go on until 11:30 or 12:00 noon, according to the HRC.
- There are 150 local events in most major cities, with links to individual Facebook pages on the UFM website.
- Oral arguments are public, and the court begins seating at 9 a.m. See the Supreme Court visitor website for more details. There are reports of lines already forming, possibly the earliest ever for a public hearing at the Supreme Court.
The two court cases concern the federal Defense of Marriage Act (DOMA) and the ban on same sex marriage in California, also known as Proposition 8. Married couples in the nine states that provide same sex marriage still cannot access federal rights because of DOMA.
The March 26th hearing will focus on Proposition 8, while the March 27th hearing will focus on DOMA.
Outcomes for these cases are uncertain, but much expert opinion on the blogosphere predicts that DOMA will be overturned, and there will be at least a minimally good outcome for the Proposition 8 case, also known as Hollingsworth v. Perry. The most current and popular theory for Proposition 8 is that the Supreme Court will mandate same sex marriage in nine states with civil unions and full partnership rights. Read more about the nine-state solution here.
This is just the most basic information for the original post, and I encourage my fellow Jubbers to share more.